Wendel (France) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 77.22

MF Stock  EUR 94.70  0.30  0.32%   
Wendel's future price is the expected price of Wendel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wendel performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wendel Backtesting, Wendel Valuation, Wendel Correlation, Wendel Hype Analysis, Wendel Volatility, Wendel History as well as Wendel Performance.
  
Please specify Wendel's target price for which you would like Wendel odds to be computed.

Wendel Target Price Odds to finish over 77.22

The tendency of Wendel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 77.22  in 90 days
 94.70 90 days 77.22 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wendel to stay above € 77.22  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Wendel probability density function shows the probability of Wendel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wendel price to stay between € 77.22  and its current price of €94.7 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.87 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Wendel has a beta of -0.0865. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Wendel are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Wendel is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Wendel has an alpha of 0.0832, implying that it can generate a 0.0832 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Wendel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wendel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wendel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.7494.7095.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
77.5378.49104.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
93.5194.4795.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
90.5692.9095.23
Details

Wendel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wendel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wendel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wendel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wendel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
1.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Wendel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wendel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wendel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wendel has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Wendel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wendel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wendel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wendel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding80.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.5 B

Wendel Technical Analysis

Wendel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wendel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wendel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wendel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wendel Predictive Forecast Models

Wendel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wendel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wendel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wendel

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wendel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wendel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wendel has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Wendel Stock

Wendel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wendel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wendel with respect to the benefits of owning Wendel security.