Missfresh Ltd ADR Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.53
| MFDelisted Stock | USD 0.48 0.00 0.00% |
Missfresh |
Missfresh Target Price Odds to finish below 0.53
The tendency of Missfresh Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.53 after 90 days |
| 0.48 | 90 days | 0.53 | about 26.32 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Missfresh to stay under $ 0.53 after 90 days from now is about 26.32 (This Missfresh Ltd ADR probability density function shows the probability of Missfresh Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Missfresh ADR price to stay between its current price of $ 0.48 and $ 0.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.84 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Missfresh has a beta of 0.15. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Missfresh average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Missfresh Ltd ADR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Missfresh Ltd ADR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Missfresh Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Missfresh
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Missfresh ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Missfresh Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Missfresh is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Missfresh's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Missfresh Ltd ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Missfresh within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.74 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Missfresh Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Missfresh for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Missfresh ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Missfresh ADR is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Missfresh ADR has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Missfresh ADR has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Missfresh Ltd ADR reports 5.04 M of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.55, which may imply that the company relies heavily on debt financing. Missfresh ADR has a current ratio of 0.94, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Missfresh to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity generated the yearly revenue of 2.76 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (1.52 B) with gross profit of 580.45 M. | |
| Missfresh Ltd ADR reports about 2.3 B in cash with (682.67 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 293.47, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Missfresh Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Missfresh Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Missfresh's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Missfresh's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 66.3 M | |
| Shares Float | 5.6 M |
Missfresh Technical Analysis
Missfresh's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Missfresh Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Missfresh Ltd ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Missfresh Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Missfresh Predictive Forecast Models
Missfresh's time-series forecasting models is one of many Missfresh's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Missfresh's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Missfresh ADR
Checking the ongoing alerts about Missfresh for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Missfresh ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Missfresh ADR is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Missfresh ADR has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Missfresh ADR has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Missfresh Ltd ADR reports 5.04 M of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.55, which may imply that the company relies heavily on debt financing. Missfresh ADR has a current ratio of 0.94, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Missfresh to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity generated the yearly revenue of 2.76 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (1.52 B) with gross profit of 580.45 M. | |
| Missfresh Ltd ADR reports about 2.3 B in cash with (682.67 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 293.47, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Other Consideration for investing in Missfresh Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Missfresh ADR check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Missfresh's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Portfolio Holdings Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing | |
| Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings | |
| Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges | |
| Stock Tickers Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites | |
| Investing Opportunities Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences |