Manulife Finl Srs Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 18.99
| MFC-PC Preferred Stock | CAD 19.60 0.15 0.77% |
Manulife |
Manulife Finl Target Price Odds to finish below 18.99
The tendency of Manulife Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 18.99 or more in 90 days |
| 19.60 | 90 days | 18.99 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Manulife Finl to drop to C$ 18.99 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Manulife Finl Srs probability density function shows the probability of Manulife Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Manulife Finl Srs price to stay between C$ 18.99 and its current price of C$19.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.16 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Manulife Finl has a beta of 0.13. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Manulife Finl average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Manulife Finl Srs will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Manulife Finl Srs has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Manulife Finl Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Manulife Finl
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Manulife Finl Srs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Manulife Finl Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Manulife Finl is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Manulife Finl's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Manulife Finl Srs, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Manulife Finl within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.34 |
Manulife Finl Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Manulife Finl for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Manulife Finl Srs can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Manulife Finl Srs generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Manulife Finl Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Manulife Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Manulife Finl's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Manulife Finl's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 B |
Manulife Finl Technical Analysis
Manulife Finl's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Manulife Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Manulife Finl Srs. In general, you should focus on analyzing Manulife Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Manulife Finl Predictive Forecast Models
Manulife Finl's time-series forecasting models is one of many Manulife Finl's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Manulife Finl's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Manulife Finl Srs
Checking the ongoing alerts about Manulife Finl for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Manulife Finl Srs help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Manulife Finl Srs generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Manulife Preferred Stock
Manulife Finl financial ratios help investors to determine whether Manulife Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Manulife with respect to the benefits of owning Manulife Finl security.