Mutual Federal Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 1.49
| MFDB Stock | USD 2.75 0.15 5.77% |
Mutual |
Mutual Federal Target Price Odds to finish below 1.49
The tendency of Mutual Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 1.49 or more in 90 days |
| 2.75 | 90 days | 1.49 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mutual Federal to drop to $ 1.49 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Mutual Federal Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Mutual Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mutual Federal Bancorp price to stay between $ 1.49 and its current price of $2.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 74.71 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Mutual Federal has a beta of 0.2. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mutual Federal average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mutual Federal Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mutual Federal Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mutual Federal Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Mutual Federal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mutual Federal Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mutual Federal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mutual Federal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mutual Federal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mutual Federal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mutual Federal Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mutual Federal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Mutual Federal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mutual Federal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mutual Federal Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mutual Federal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.07 M. Net Loss for the year was (906 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.07 M. | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: 71,121 Shares in Regions Financial Co. Purchased by DRW Securities LLC |
Mutual Federal Technical Analysis
Mutual Federal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mutual Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mutual Federal Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mutual Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mutual Federal Predictive Forecast Models
Mutual Federal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mutual Federal's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mutual Federal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mutual Federal Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mutual Federal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mutual Federal Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mutual Federal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.07 M. Net Loss for the year was (906 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.07 M. | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: 71,121 Shares in Regions Financial Co. Purchased by DRW Securities LLC |
Other Information on Investing in Mutual Pink Sheet
Mutual Federal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mutual Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mutual with respect to the benefits of owning Mutual Federal security.