Midcap Financial Investment Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.86

MFIC Stock  USD 13.99  0.17  1.23%   
MidCap Financial's future price is the expected price of MidCap Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of MidCap Financial Investment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out MidCap Financial Backtesting, MidCap Financial Valuation, MidCap Financial Correlation, MidCap Financial Hype Analysis, MidCap Financial Volatility, MidCap Financial History as well as MidCap Financial Performance.
  
At present, MidCap Financial's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 4.78, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 6.38. Please specify MidCap Financial's target price for which you would like MidCap Financial odds to be computed.

MidCap Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 13.86

The tendency of MidCap Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 13.86  in 90 days
 13.99 90 days 13.86 
about 1.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MidCap Financial to stay above $ 13.86  in 90 days from now is about 1.09 (This MidCap Financial Investment probability density function shows the probability of MidCap Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MidCap Financial Inv price to stay between $ 13.86  and its current price of $13.99 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days MidCap Financial has a beta of 0.4. This indicates as returns on the market go up, MidCap Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MidCap Financial Investment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MidCap Financial Investment has an alpha of 0.0084, implying that it can generate a 0.008411 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   MidCap Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MidCap Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MidCap Financial Inv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.1613.9914.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.9913.8214.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.2814.1014.93
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.6113.8615.38
Details

MidCap Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MidCap Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MidCap Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MidCap Financial Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MidCap Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

MidCap Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MidCap Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MidCap Financial Inv can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

MidCap Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MidCap Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MidCap Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MidCap Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding65.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments122.1 M

MidCap Financial Technical Analysis

MidCap Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MidCap Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MidCap Financial Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing MidCap Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

MidCap Financial Predictive Forecast Models

MidCap Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many MidCap Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MidCap Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about MidCap Financial Inv

Checking the ongoing alerts about MidCap Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MidCap Financial Inv help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
When determining whether MidCap Financial Inv is a strong investment it is important to analyze MidCap Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact MidCap Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding MidCap Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MidCap Financial. If investors know MidCap will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MidCap Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.33)
Dividend Share
1.52
Earnings Share
1.54
Revenue Per Share
4.118
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.205
The market value of MidCap Financial Inv is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MidCap that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MidCap Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MidCap Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MidCap Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MidCap Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MidCap Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MidCap Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MidCap Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.