Multifiling Mitra (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1180.0

MFMI Stock  IDR 1,250  0.00  0.00%   
Multifiling Mitra's future price is the expected price of Multifiling Mitra instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Multifiling Mitra Indonesia performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Multifiling Mitra Backtesting, Multifiling Mitra Valuation, Multifiling Mitra Correlation, Multifiling Mitra Hype Analysis, Multifiling Mitra Volatility, Multifiling Mitra History as well as Multifiling Mitra Performance.
  
Please specify Multifiling Mitra's target price for which you would like Multifiling Mitra odds to be computed.

Multifiling Mitra Target Price Odds to finish over 1180.0

The tendency of Multifiling Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  1,180  in 90 days
 1,250 90 days 1,180 
about 23.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Multifiling Mitra to stay above  1,180  in 90 days from now is about 23.64 (This Multifiling Mitra Indonesia probability density function shows the probability of Multifiling Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Multifiling Mitra price to stay between  1,180  and its current price of 1250.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Multifiling Mitra has a beta of 0.45. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Multifiling Mitra average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Multifiling Mitra Indonesia will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Multifiling Mitra Indonesia has an alpha of 0.539, implying that it can generate a 0.54 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Multifiling Mitra Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Multifiling Mitra

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Multifiling Mitra. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,2461,2501,254
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
941.50945.681,375
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,1791,1831,187
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,2251,2551,285
Details

Multifiling Mitra Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Multifiling Mitra is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Multifiling Mitra's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Multifiling Mitra Indonesia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Multifiling Mitra within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.54
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.45
σ
Overall volatility
173.38
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Multifiling Mitra Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Multifiling Mitra for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Multifiling Mitra can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Multifiling Mitra appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Multifiling Mitra Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Multifiling Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Multifiling Mitra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Multifiling Mitra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding757.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments96 B

Multifiling Mitra Technical Analysis

Multifiling Mitra's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Multifiling Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Multifiling Mitra Indonesia. In general, you should focus on analyzing Multifiling Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Multifiling Mitra Predictive Forecast Models

Multifiling Mitra's time-series forecasting models is one of many Multifiling Mitra's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Multifiling Mitra's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Multifiling Mitra

Checking the ongoing alerts about Multifiling Mitra for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Multifiling Mitra help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Multifiling Mitra appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Multifiling Stock

Multifiling Mitra financial ratios help investors to determine whether Multifiling Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Multifiling with respect to the benefits of owning Multifiling Mitra security.