Minera Frisco (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.63
| MFRISCOA-1 | MXN 3.83 0.11 2.96% |
Minera |
Minera Frisco Target Price Odds to finish below 3.63
The tendency of Minera Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 3.63 or more in 90 days |
| 3.83 | 90 days | 3.63 | about 45.57 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Minera Frisco to drop to 3.63 or more in 90 days from now is about 45.57 (This Minera Frisco SAB probability density function shows the probability of Minera Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Minera Frisco SAB price to stay between 3.63 and its current price of 3.83 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Minera Frisco SAB has a beta of -0.27. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Minera Frisco are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Minera Frisco SAB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Minera Frisco SAB has an alpha of 0.3306, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Minera Frisco Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Minera Frisco
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Minera Frisco SAB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Minera Frisco's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Minera Frisco Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Minera Frisco is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Minera Frisco's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Minera Frisco SAB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Minera Frisco within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Minera Frisco Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Minera Frisco for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Minera Frisco SAB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Minera Frisco SAB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Minera Frisco SAB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Minera Frisco SAB has accumulated 17.85 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 241.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Minera Frisco SAB has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Minera Frisco until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Minera Frisco's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Minera Frisco SAB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Minera to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Minera Frisco's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 12.83 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.78 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.31 B. |
Minera Frisco Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Minera Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Minera Frisco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Minera Frisco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6 B |
Minera Frisco Technical Analysis
Minera Frisco's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Minera Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Minera Frisco SAB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Minera Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Minera Frisco Predictive Forecast Models
Minera Frisco's time-series forecasting models is one of many Minera Frisco's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Minera Frisco's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Minera Frisco SAB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Minera Frisco for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Minera Frisco SAB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Minera Frisco SAB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Minera Frisco SAB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Minera Frisco SAB has accumulated 17.85 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 241.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Minera Frisco SAB has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Minera Frisco until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Minera Frisco's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Minera Frisco SAB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Minera to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Minera Frisco's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 12.83 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.78 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.31 B. |
Other Information on Investing in Minera Stock
Minera Frisco financial ratios help investors to determine whether Minera Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Minera with respect to the benefits of owning Minera Frisco security.