Mitsubishi UFJ (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.11
| MFZ Stock | EUR 11.19 0.24 2.19% |
Mitsubishi |
Mitsubishi UFJ Target Price Odds to finish over 13.11
The tendency of Mitsubishi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 13.11 or more in 90 days |
| 11.19 | 90 days | 13.11 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mitsubishi UFJ to move over € 13.11 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Mitsubishi UFJ Financial probability density function shows the probability of Mitsubishi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mitsubishi UFJ Financial price to stay between its current price of € 11.19 and € 13.11 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mitsubishi UFJ has a beta of 0.95. This indicates Mitsubishi UFJ Financial market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Mitsubishi UFJ is expected to follow. Additionally Mitsubishi UFJ Financial has an alpha of 0.1493, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Mitsubishi UFJ Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mitsubishi UFJ
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mitsubishi UFJ Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mitsubishi UFJ Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mitsubishi UFJ is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mitsubishi UFJ's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mitsubishi UFJ within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Mitsubishi UFJ Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mitsubishi UFJ for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mitsubishi UFJ Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mitsubishi UFJ has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 5.14 T. Net Loss for the year was (83.32 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.95 T. |
Mitsubishi UFJ Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mitsubishi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mitsubishi UFJ's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mitsubishi UFJ's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.6 B |
Mitsubishi UFJ Technical Analysis
Mitsubishi UFJ's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mitsubishi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mitsubishi UFJ Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mitsubishi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mitsubishi UFJ Predictive Forecast Models
Mitsubishi UFJ's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mitsubishi UFJ's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mitsubishi UFJ's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mitsubishi UFJ Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mitsubishi UFJ for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mitsubishi UFJ Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mitsubishi UFJ has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 5.14 T. Net Loss for the year was (83.32 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.95 T. |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Mitsubishi Stock
When determining whether Mitsubishi UFJ Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze Mitsubishi UFJ's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Mitsubishi UFJ's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Mitsubishi Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Mitsubishi UFJ Backtesting, Mitsubishi UFJ Valuation, Mitsubishi UFJ Correlation, Mitsubishi UFJ Hype Analysis, Mitsubishi UFJ Volatility, Mitsubishi UFJ History as well as Mitsubishi UFJ Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.