Mitsubishi UFJ (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.35
| MFZA Stock | 10.90 0.10 0.91% |
Mitsubishi |
Mitsubishi UFJ Target Price Odds to finish below 9.35
The tendency of Mitsubishi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 9.35 or more in 90 days |
| 10.90 | 90 days | 9.35 | about 34.61 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mitsubishi UFJ to drop to 9.35 or more in 90 days from now is about 34.61 (This Mitsubishi UFJ Financial probability density function shows the probability of Mitsubishi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mitsubishi UFJ Financial price to stay between 9.35 and its current price of 10.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mitsubishi UFJ has a beta of 0.38. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mitsubishi UFJ average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mitsubishi UFJ Financial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mitsubishi UFJ Financial has an alpha of 0.2489, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Mitsubishi UFJ Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mitsubishi UFJ
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mitsubishi UFJ Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mitsubishi UFJ Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mitsubishi UFJ is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mitsubishi UFJ's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mitsubishi UFJ within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Mitsubishi UFJ Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mitsubishi UFJ for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mitsubishi UFJ Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mitsubishi UFJ has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 5.14 T. Net Loss for the year was (83.32 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.95 T. |
Mitsubishi UFJ Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mitsubishi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mitsubishi UFJ's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mitsubishi UFJ's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.6 B |
Mitsubishi UFJ Technical Analysis
Mitsubishi UFJ's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mitsubishi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mitsubishi UFJ Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mitsubishi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mitsubishi UFJ Predictive Forecast Models
Mitsubishi UFJ's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mitsubishi UFJ's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mitsubishi UFJ's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mitsubishi UFJ Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mitsubishi UFJ for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mitsubishi UFJ Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mitsubishi UFJ has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 5.14 T. Net Loss for the year was (83.32 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.95 T. |
Additional Tools for Mitsubishi Stock Analysis
When running Mitsubishi UFJ's price analysis, check to measure Mitsubishi UFJ's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mitsubishi UFJ is operating at the current time. Most of Mitsubishi UFJ's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mitsubishi UFJ's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mitsubishi UFJ's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mitsubishi UFJ to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.