Praxis Genesis Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 20.78

MGAFX Fund  USD 20.23  0.02  0.1%   
Praxis Genesis' future price is the expected price of Praxis Genesis instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Praxis Genesis Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Praxis Genesis Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Praxis Genesis Correlation, Praxis Genesis Hype Analysis, Praxis Genesis Volatility, Praxis Genesis History as well as Praxis Genesis Performance.
  
Please specify Praxis Genesis' target price for which you would like Praxis Genesis odds to be computed.

Praxis Genesis Target Price Odds to finish over 20.78

The tendency of Praxis Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 20.78  or more in 90 days
 20.23 90 days 20.78 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Praxis Genesis to move over $ 20.78  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Praxis Genesis Growth probability density function shows the probability of Praxis Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Praxis Genesis Growth price to stay between its current price of $ 20.23  and $ 20.78  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.9 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Praxis Genesis has a beta of 0.64. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Praxis Genesis average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Praxis Genesis Growth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Praxis Genesis Growth has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Praxis Genesis Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Praxis Genesis

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Praxis Genesis Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.6820.2320.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.5420.0920.64
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Praxis Genesis. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Praxis Genesis' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Praxis Genesis' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Praxis Genesis Growth.

Praxis Genesis Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Praxis Genesis is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Praxis Genesis' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Praxis Genesis Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Praxis Genesis within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.64
σ
Overall volatility
0.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Praxis Genesis Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Praxis Genesis for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Praxis Genesis Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 19.04% of its assets in bonds

Praxis Genesis Technical Analysis

Praxis Genesis' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Praxis Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Praxis Genesis Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Praxis Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Praxis Genesis Predictive Forecast Models

Praxis Genesis' time-series forecasting models is one of many Praxis Genesis' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Praxis Genesis' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Praxis Genesis Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Praxis Genesis for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Praxis Genesis Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 19.04% of its assets in bonds

Other Information on Investing in Praxis Mutual Fund

Praxis Genesis financial ratios help investors to determine whether Praxis Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Praxis with respect to the benefits of owning Praxis Genesis security.
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data