Magna Mining Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.01

MGMNF Stock   1.02  0.01  0.97%   
Magna Mining's future price is the expected price of Magna Mining instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Magna Mining performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Magna Mining Backtesting, Magna Mining Valuation, Magna Mining Correlation, Magna Mining Hype Analysis, Magna Mining Volatility, Magna Mining History as well as Magna Mining Performance.
  
Please specify Magna Mining's target price for which you would like Magna Mining odds to be computed.

Magna Mining Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01

The tendency of Magna Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.01  or more in 90 days
 1.02 90 days 0.01 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Magna Mining to drop to  0.01  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Magna Mining probability density function shows the probability of Magna Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Magna Mining price to stay between  0.01  and its current price of 1.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.48 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.55 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Magna Mining will likely underperform. Additionally Magna Mining has an alpha of 0.8717, implying that it can generate a 0.87 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Magna Mining Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Magna Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Magna Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.026.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.926.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.956.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.011.021.03
Details

Magna Mining Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Magna Mining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Magna Mining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Magna Mining, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Magna Mining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.87
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.55
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Magna Mining Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Magna Mining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Magna Mining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Magna Mining is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Magna Mining has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Magna Mining appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Magna Mining has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (6.76 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (199.72 K).
Magna Mining generates negative cash flow from operations
About 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Magna Mining Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Magna Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Magna Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Magna Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding71.8 M

Magna Mining Technical Analysis

Magna Mining's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Magna Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Magna Mining. In general, you should focus on analyzing Magna Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Magna Mining Predictive Forecast Models

Magna Mining's time-series forecasting models is one of many Magna Mining's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Magna Mining's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Magna Mining

Checking the ongoing alerts about Magna Mining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Magna Mining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Magna Mining is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Magna Mining has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Magna Mining appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Magna Mining has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (6.76 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (199.72 K).
Magna Mining generates negative cash flow from operations
About 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Magna Pink Sheet

Magna Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Magna Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Magna with respect to the benefits of owning Magna Mining security.