Victory Munder Mid Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 13.94
| MGOSX Fund | USD 14.13 0.05 0.36% |
Victory |
Victory Munder Target Price Odds to finish over 13.94
The tendency of Victory Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 13.94 in 90 days |
| 14.13 | 90 days | 13.94 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Victory Munder to stay above $ 13.94 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Victory Munder Mid Cap probability density function shows the probability of Victory Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Victory Munder Mid price to stay between $ 13.94 and its current price of $14.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.87 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Victory Munder has a beta of 0.0024. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Victory Munder average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Victory Munder Mid Cap will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally It does not look like Victory Munder's alpha can have any bearing on the current valuation. Victory Munder Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Victory Munder
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Victory Munder Mid. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Victory Munder's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Victory Munder Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Victory Munder is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Victory Munder's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Victory Munder Mid Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Victory Munder within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.00 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.00 |
Victory Munder Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Victory Munder for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Victory Munder Mid can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Victory Munder Mid is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Victory Munder Mid generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains 98.56% of its assets in stocks |
Victory Munder Technical Analysis
Victory Munder's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Victory Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Victory Munder Mid Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Victory Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Victory Munder Predictive Forecast Models
Victory Munder's time-series forecasting models is one of many Victory Munder's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Victory Munder's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Victory Munder Mid
Checking the ongoing alerts about Victory Munder for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Victory Munder Mid help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Victory Munder Mid is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Victory Munder Mid generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains 98.56% of its assets in stocks |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Other Tools for Victory Mutual Fund
When running Victory Munder's price analysis, check to measure Victory Munder's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Victory Munder is operating at the current time. Most of Victory Munder's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Victory Munder's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Victory Munder's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Victory Munder to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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