Migros Ticaret (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 495.56
| MGROS Stock | TRY 520.50 7.50 1.42% |
Migros |
Migros Ticaret Target Price Odds to finish over 495.56
The tendency of Migros Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 495.56 in 90 days |
| 520.50 | 90 days | 495.56 | about 16.68 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Migros Ticaret to stay above 495.56 in 90 days from now is about 16.68 (This Migros Ticaret AS probability density function shows the probability of Migros Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Migros Ticaret AS price to stay between 495.56 and its current price of 520.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Migros Ticaret has a beta of 0.57. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Migros Ticaret average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Migros Ticaret AS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Migros Ticaret AS has an alpha of 0.0335, implying that it can generate a 0.0335 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Migros Ticaret Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Migros Ticaret
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Migros Ticaret AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Migros Ticaret's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Migros Ticaret Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Migros Ticaret is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Migros Ticaret's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Migros Ticaret AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Migros Ticaret within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 38.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0042 |
Migros Ticaret Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Migros Ticaret for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Migros Ticaret AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Migros Ticaret AS has accumulated 1.69 B in total debt. Migros Ticaret AS has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Migros Ticaret until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Migros Ticaret's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Migros Ticaret AS sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Migros to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Migros Ticaret's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Migros Ticaret Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Migros Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Migros Ticaret's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Migros Ticaret's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 178.1 M |
Migros Ticaret Technical Analysis
Migros Ticaret's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Migros Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Migros Ticaret AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Migros Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Migros Ticaret Predictive Forecast Models
Migros Ticaret's time-series forecasting models is one of many Migros Ticaret's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Migros Ticaret's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Migros Ticaret AS
Checking the ongoing alerts about Migros Ticaret for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Migros Ticaret AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Migros Ticaret AS has accumulated 1.69 B in total debt. Migros Ticaret AS has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Migros Ticaret until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Migros Ticaret's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Migros Ticaret AS sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Migros to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Migros Ticaret's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Migros Stock
Migros Ticaret financial ratios help investors to determine whether Migros Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Migros with respect to the benefits of owning Migros Ticaret security.