MeguREIT Israel (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 548.42
| MGRT Stock | 601.00 1.30 0.22% |
MeguREIT |
MeguREIT Israel Target Price Odds to finish over 548.42
The tendency of MeguREIT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 548.42 in 90 days |
| 601.00 | 90 days | 548.42 | about 5.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MeguREIT Israel to stay above 548.42 in 90 days from now is about 5.71 (This MeguREIT Israel probability density function shows the probability of MeguREIT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MeguREIT Israel price to stay between 548.42 and its current price of 601.0 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.67 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MeguREIT Israel has a beta of -0.54. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MeguREIT Israel are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MeguREIT Israel is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MeguREIT Israel has an alpha of 0.9109, implying that it can generate a 0.91 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MeguREIT Israel Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for MeguREIT Israel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MeguREIT Israel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MeguREIT Israel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MeguREIT Israel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MeguREIT Israel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MeguREIT Israel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MeguREIT Israel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.91 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 71.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.29 |
MeguREIT Israel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MeguREIT Israel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MeguREIT Israel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MeguREIT Israel has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| MeguREIT Israel has accumulated about 62.58 M in cash with (8.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.2. |
MeguREIT Israel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MeguREIT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MeguREIT Israel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MeguREIT Israel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 113.2 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 636.2 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.1 |
MeguREIT Israel Technical Analysis
MeguREIT Israel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MeguREIT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MeguREIT Israel. In general, you should focus on analyzing MeguREIT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MeguREIT Israel Predictive Forecast Models
MeguREIT Israel's time-series forecasting models is one of many MeguREIT Israel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MeguREIT Israel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MeguREIT Israel
Checking the ongoing alerts about MeguREIT Israel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MeguREIT Israel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MeguREIT Israel has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| MeguREIT Israel has accumulated about 62.58 M in cash with (8.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.2. |
Other Information on Investing in MeguREIT Stock
MeguREIT Israel financial ratios help investors to determine whether MeguREIT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MeguREIT with respect to the benefits of owning MeguREIT Israel security.