Megachem Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.04
| MGT Stock | THB 2.04 0.02 0.99% |
Megachem |
Megachem Public Target Price Odds to finish below 2.04
The tendency of Megachem Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 2.04 | 90 days | 2.04 | about 29.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Megachem Public to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 29.66 (This Megachem Public probability density function shows the probability of Megachem Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Megachem Public has a beta of 0.84. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Megachem Public average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Megachem Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Megachem Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Megachem Public Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Megachem Public
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Megachem Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Megachem Public Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Megachem Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Megachem Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Megachem Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Megachem Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Megachem Public Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Megachem Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Megachem Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Megachem Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Megachem Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 79.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Megachem Public Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Megachem Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Megachem Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Megachem Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 400 M |
Megachem Public Technical Analysis
Megachem Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Megachem Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Megachem Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Megachem Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Megachem Public Predictive Forecast Models
Megachem Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many Megachem Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Megachem Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Megachem Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Megachem Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Megachem Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Megachem Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Megachem Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 79.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Megachem Stock
Megachem Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Megachem Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Megachem with respect to the benefits of owning Megachem Public security.