Mogul Energy International Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0078
| MGUY Stock | USD 0.01 0.0004 6.06% |
Mogul |
Mogul Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0078
The tendency of Mogul Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.01 after 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.01 | about 42.61 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mogul Energy to stay under $ 0.01 after 90 days from now is about 42.61 (This Mogul Energy International probability density function shows the probability of Mogul Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mogul Energy Interna price to stay between its current price of $ 0.01 and $ 0.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.33 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Mogul Energy International has a beta of -0.46. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mogul Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mogul Energy International is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mogul Energy International has an alpha of 0.501, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Mogul Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mogul Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mogul Energy Interna. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mogul Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mogul Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mogul Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mogul Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mogul Energy International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mogul Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Mogul Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mogul Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mogul Energy Interna can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mogul Energy Interna had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Mogul Energy Interna has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Mogul Energy Interna has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Mogul Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mogul Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mogul Energy Interna sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mogul to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mogul Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Mogul Energy Interna reported the previous year's revenue of 49.78 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 49.13 K. | |
| Mogul Energy International currently holds about 19.06 K in cash with (977 K) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Mogul Energy Technical Analysis
Mogul Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mogul Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mogul Energy International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mogul Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mogul Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Mogul Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mogul Energy's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mogul Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mogul Energy Interna
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mogul Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mogul Energy Interna help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mogul Energy Interna had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Mogul Energy Interna has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Mogul Energy Interna has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Mogul Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mogul Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mogul Energy Interna sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mogul to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mogul Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Mogul Energy Interna reported the previous year's revenue of 49.78 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 49.13 K. | |
| Mogul Energy International currently holds about 19.06 K in cash with (977 K) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Additional Tools for Mogul Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Mogul Energy's price analysis, check to measure Mogul Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mogul Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Mogul Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mogul Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mogul Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mogul Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.