Maple Leaf Green Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.03
MGWFF Stock | USD 0.03 0.01 39.13% |
Maple |
Maple Leaf Target Price Odds to finish over 0.03
The tendency of Maple Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0.03 in 90 days |
0.03 | 90 days | 0.03 | about 52.19 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Maple Leaf to stay above $ 0.03 in 90 days from now is about 52.19 (This Maple Leaf Green probability density function shows the probability of Maple Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Maple Leaf Green price to stay between $ 0.03 and its current price of $0.032 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.38 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Maple Leaf has a beta of 0.73. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Maple Leaf average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Maple Leaf Green will be expected to be much smaller as well. In addition to that Maple Leaf Green has an alpha of 2.8977, implying that it can generate a 2.9 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Maple Leaf Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Maple Leaf
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maple Leaf Green. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Maple Leaf Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Maple Leaf is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Maple Leaf's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Maple Leaf Green, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Maple Leaf within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.90 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Maple Leaf Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Maple Leaf for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Maple Leaf Green can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Maple Leaf Green is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
Maple Leaf Green has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
Maple Leaf Green appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
Maple Leaf Green has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
Maple Leaf Green has accumulated 60 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.29, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Maple Leaf Green has a current ratio of 0.02, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Maple Leaf until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Maple Leaf's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Maple Leaf Green sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Maple to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Maple Leaf's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
Net Loss for the year was (2.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.1 M. | |
Maple Leaf Green has accumulated about 112.14 K in cash with (641.27 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
Roughly 12.0% of Maple Leaf outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Maple Leaf Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Maple Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Maple Leaf's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Maple Leaf's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27.5 M |
Maple Leaf Technical Analysis
Maple Leaf's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Maple Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Maple Leaf Green. In general, you should focus on analyzing Maple Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Maple Leaf Predictive Forecast Models
Maple Leaf's time-series forecasting models is one of many Maple Leaf's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Maple Leaf's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Maple Leaf Green
Checking the ongoing alerts about Maple Leaf for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Maple Leaf Green help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Maple Leaf Green is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
Maple Leaf Green has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
Maple Leaf Green appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
Maple Leaf Green has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
Maple Leaf Green has accumulated 60 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.29, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Maple Leaf Green has a current ratio of 0.02, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Maple Leaf until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Maple Leaf's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Maple Leaf Green sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Maple to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Maple Leaf's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
Net Loss for the year was (2.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.1 M. | |
Maple Leaf Green has accumulated about 112.14 K in cash with (641.27 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
Roughly 12.0% of Maple Leaf outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Maple Pink Sheet
Maple Leaf financial ratios help investors to determine whether Maple Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Maple with respect to the benefits of owning Maple Leaf security.