Tokio Marine (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 32.51
| MH6 Stock | EUR 34.68 0.37 1.08% |
Tokio |
Tokio Marine Target Price Odds to finish below 32.51
The tendency of Tokio Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 32.51 or more in 90 days |
| 34.68 | 90 days | 32.51 | about 18.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tokio Marine to drop to € 32.51 or more in 90 days from now is about 18.8 (This Tokio Marine Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Tokio Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tokio Marine Holdings price to stay between € 32.51 and its current price of €34.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.18 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tokio Marine has a beta of 0.6. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Tokio Marine average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tokio Marine Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tokio Marine Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tokio Marine Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tokio Marine
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tokio Marine Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tokio Marine Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tokio Marine is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tokio Marine's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tokio Marine Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tokio Marine within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Tokio Marine Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tokio Marine for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tokio Marine Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tokio Marine Holdings has accumulated 219.79 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.06, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Tokio Marine Holdings has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tokio Marine until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tokio Marine's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tokio Marine Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tokio to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tokio Marine's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Tokio Marine Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tokio Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tokio Marine's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tokio Marine's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 677.8 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 151.6 B | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.74 |
Tokio Marine Technical Analysis
Tokio Marine's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tokio Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tokio Marine Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tokio Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tokio Marine Predictive Forecast Models
Tokio Marine's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tokio Marine's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tokio Marine's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tokio Marine Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tokio Marine for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tokio Marine Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tokio Marine Holdings has accumulated 219.79 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.06, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Tokio Marine Holdings has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tokio Marine until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tokio Marine's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tokio Marine Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tokio to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tokio Marine's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in Tokio Stock
Tokio Marine financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tokio Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tokio with respect to the benefits of owning Tokio Marine security.