Meritage Hospitality Group Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 19.47
| MHGUDelisted Stock | USD 19.75 0.28 1.44% |
Meritage |
Meritage Hospitality Target Price Odds to finish below 19.47
The tendency of Meritage OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 19.47 or more in 90 days |
| 19.75 | 90 days | 19.47 | about 43.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Meritage Hospitality to drop to $ 19.47 or more in 90 days from now is about 43.07 (This Meritage Hospitality Group probability density function shows the probability of Meritage OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Meritage Hospitality price to stay between $ 19.47 and its current price of $19.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.71 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Meritage Hospitality has a beta of 0.0091. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Meritage Hospitality average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Meritage Hospitality Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Meritage Hospitality Group has an alpha of 0.0657, implying that it can generate a 0.0657 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Meritage Hospitality Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Meritage Hospitality
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meritage Hospitality. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Meritage Hospitality Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Meritage Hospitality is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Meritage Hospitality's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Meritage Hospitality Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Meritage Hospitality within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Meritage Hospitality Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Meritage Hospitality for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Meritage Hospitality can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Meritage Hospitality is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Meritage Hospitality has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Meritage Hospitality Group currently holds 165.38 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 3.95, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Meritage Hospitality has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Meritage Hospitality until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Meritage Hospitality's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Meritage Hospitality sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Meritage to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Meritage Hospitality's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Meritage Hospitality Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Meritage OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Meritage Hospitality's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Meritage Hospitality's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.5 M |
Meritage Hospitality Technical Analysis
Meritage Hospitality's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Meritage OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Meritage Hospitality Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Meritage OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Meritage Hospitality Predictive Forecast Models
Meritage Hospitality's time-series forecasting models is one of many Meritage Hospitality's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Meritage Hospitality's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Meritage Hospitality
Checking the ongoing alerts about Meritage Hospitality for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Meritage Hospitality help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Meritage Hospitality is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Meritage Hospitality has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Meritage Hospitality Group currently holds 165.38 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 3.95, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Meritage Hospitality has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Meritage Hospitality until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Meritage Hospitality's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Meritage Hospitality sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Meritage to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Meritage Hospitality's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. Note that the Meritage Hospitality information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Meritage Hospitality's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Other Consideration for investing in Meritage OTC Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Meritage Hospitality check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Meritage Hospitality's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Risk-Return Analysis View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume | |
| Fundamentals Comparison Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities | |
| My Watchlist Analysis Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like | |
| Efficient Frontier Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market. | |
| Investing Opportunities Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences | |
| Stock Screener Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook. | |
| Companies Directory Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals | |
| Sectors List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities | |
| Equity Valuation Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data |