Mfs High Income Fund Odds of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 3.08

MHIKX Fund  USD 3.11  0.01  0.32%   
Mfs High's future price is the expected price of Mfs High instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mfs High Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mfs High Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Mfs High Correlation, Mfs High Hype Analysis, Mfs High Volatility, Mfs High History as well as Mfs High Performance.
  
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Mfs High Target Price Odds to finish below 3.08

The tendency of Mfs Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 3.08  or more in 90 days
 3.11 90 days 3.08 
about 8.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mfs High to drop to $ 3.08  or more in 90 days from now is about 8.87 (This Mfs High Income probability density function shows the probability of Mfs Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mfs High Income price to stay between $ 3.08  and its current price of $3.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.48 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mfs High has a beta of 0.0164. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mfs High average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mfs High Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mfs High Income has an alpha of 0.0128, implying that it can generate a 0.0128 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mfs High Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mfs High

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mfs High Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.903.113.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.652.863.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.883.093.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.103.113.12
Details

Mfs High Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mfs High is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mfs High's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mfs High Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mfs High within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.51

Mfs High Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mfs High for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mfs High Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 14.81% of its assets in bonds

Mfs High Technical Analysis

Mfs High's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mfs Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mfs High Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mfs Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mfs High Predictive Forecast Models

Mfs High's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mfs High's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mfs High's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mfs High Income

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mfs High for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mfs High Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 14.81% of its assets in bonds

Other Information on Investing in Mfs Mutual Fund

Mfs High financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mfs Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mfs with respect to the benefits of owning Mfs High security.
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