BGF World (Germany) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 39.37
| MI9S Fund | EUR 39.37 1.92 4.65% |
BGF |
BGF World Target Price Odds to finish over 39.37
The tendency of BGF Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 39.37 | 90 days | 39.37 | about 69.05 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BGF World to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 69.05 (This BGF World Gold probability density function shows the probability of BGF Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BGF World Gold has a beta of -0.14. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BGF World are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BGF World Gold is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BGF World Gold has an alpha of 0.1923, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BGF World Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BGF World
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BGF World Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BGF World Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BGF World is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BGF World's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BGF World Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BGF World within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
BGF World Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BGF World for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BGF World Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BGF World Gold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
BGF World Technical Analysis
BGF World's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BGF Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BGF World Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing BGF Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BGF World Predictive Forecast Models
BGF World's time-series forecasting models is one of many BGF World's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BGF World's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BGF World Gold
Checking the ongoing alerts about BGF World for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BGF World Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BGF World Gold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in BGF Fund
BGF World financial ratios help investors to determine whether BGF Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BGF with respect to the benefits of owning BGF World security.
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