Multi Indocitra (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 510.17
| MICE Stock | IDR 520.00 15.00 2.97% |
Multi |
Multi Indocitra Target Price Odds to finish over 510.17
The tendency of Multi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 510.17 in 90 days |
| 520.00 | 90 days | 510.17 | about 34.45 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Multi Indocitra to stay above 510.17 in 90 days from now is about 34.45 (This Multi Indocitra Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Multi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Multi Indocitra Tbk price to stay between 510.17 and its current price of 520.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Multi Indocitra Tbk has a beta of -0.68. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Multi Indocitra are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Multi Indocitra Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Multi Indocitra Tbk has an alpha of 0.1799, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Multi Indocitra Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Multi Indocitra
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Multi Indocitra Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Multi Indocitra Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Multi Indocitra is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Multi Indocitra's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Multi Indocitra Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Multi Indocitra within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 13.87 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Multi Indocitra Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Multi Indocitra for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Multi Indocitra Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Multi Indocitra Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Multi Indocitra Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Multi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Multi Indocitra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Multi Indocitra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 591.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 61.6 B |
Multi Indocitra Technical Analysis
Multi Indocitra's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Multi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Multi Indocitra Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Multi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Multi Indocitra Predictive Forecast Models
Multi Indocitra's time-series forecasting models is one of many Multi Indocitra's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Multi Indocitra's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Multi Indocitra Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Multi Indocitra for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Multi Indocitra Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Multi Indocitra Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Multi Stock
Multi Indocitra financial ratios help investors to determine whether Multi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Multi with respect to the benefits of owning Multi Indocitra security.