Micro Leasing (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.35
| MICRO Stock | THB 1.08 0.01 0.93% |
Micro |
Micro Leasing Target Price Odds to finish below 1.35
The tendency of Micro Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1.35 after 90 days |
| 1.08 | 90 days | 1.35 | about 24.25 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Micro Leasing to stay under 1.35 after 90 days from now is about 24.25 (This Micro Leasing Public probability density function shows the probability of Micro Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Micro Leasing Public price to stay between its current price of 1.08 and 1.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.25 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Micro Leasing has a beta of 0.61. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Micro Leasing average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Micro Leasing Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Micro Leasing Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Micro Leasing Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Micro Leasing
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Micro Leasing Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Micro Leasing Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Micro Leasing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Micro Leasing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Micro Leasing Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Micro Leasing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Micro Leasing Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Micro Leasing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Micro Leasing Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Micro Leasing Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Micro Leasing Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Micro Leasing Public has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Micro Leasing Public has accumulated about 149.25 M in cash with (907.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.16. | |
| Roughly 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Micro Leasing Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Micro Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Micro Leasing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Micro Leasing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 935 M |
Micro Leasing Technical Analysis
Micro Leasing's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Micro Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Micro Leasing Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Micro Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Micro Leasing Predictive Forecast Models
Micro Leasing's time-series forecasting models is one of many Micro Leasing's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Micro Leasing's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Micro Leasing Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Micro Leasing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Micro Leasing Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Micro Leasing Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Micro Leasing Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Micro Leasing Public has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Micro Leasing Public has accumulated about 149.25 M in cash with (907.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.16. | |
| Roughly 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Micro Stock
Micro Leasing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Micro Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Micro with respect to the benefits of owning Micro Leasing security.