Mifflinburg Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 20.02
| MIFF Stock | USD 22.70 0.80 3.40% |
Mifflinburg |
Mifflinburg Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish below 20.02
The tendency of Mifflinburg Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 20.02 or more in 90 days |
| 22.70 | 90 days | 20.02 | roughly 2.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mifflinburg Bancorp to drop to $ 20.02 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.71 (This Mifflinburg Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Mifflinburg Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mifflinburg Bancorp price to stay between $ 20.02 and its current price of $22.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.38 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Mifflinburg Bancorp has a beta of 0.35. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mifflinburg Bancorp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mifflinburg Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mifflinburg Bancorp has an alpha of 0.1713, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Mifflinburg Bancorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mifflinburg Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mifflinburg Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mifflinburg Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mifflinburg Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mifflinburg Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mifflinburg Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mifflinburg Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Mifflinburg Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mifflinburg Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mifflinburg Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mifflinburg Bancorp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.03 B. Net Loss for the year was (479.84 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.14 M. |
Mifflinburg Bancorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mifflinburg Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mifflinburg Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mifflinburg Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 125.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 281.2 M |
Mifflinburg Bancorp Technical Analysis
Mifflinburg Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mifflinburg Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mifflinburg Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mifflinburg Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mifflinburg Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
Mifflinburg Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mifflinburg Bancorp's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mifflinburg Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mifflinburg Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mifflinburg Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mifflinburg Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mifflinburg Bancorp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.03 B. Net Loss for the year was (479.84 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.14 M. |
Other Information on Investing in Mifflinburg Pink Sheet
Mifflinburg Bancorp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mifflinburg Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mifflinburg with respect to the benefits of owning Mifflinburg Bancorp security.