Millennium Food (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 366.53

MIFT Stock  ILA 188.00  7.80  4.33%   
Millennium Food's future price is the expected price of Millennium Food instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Millennium Food Tech LP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Millennium Food Backtesting, Millennium Food Valuation, Millennium Food Correlation, Millennium Food Hype Analysis, Millennium Food Volatility, Millennium Food History as well as Millennium Food Performance.
  
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Millennium Food Target Price Odds to finish over 366.53

The tendency of Millennium Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  366.53  or more in 90 days
 188.00 90 days 366.53 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Millennium Food to move over  366.53  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Millennium Food Tech LP probability density function shows the probability of Millennium Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Millennium Food Tech price to stay between its current price of  188.00  and  366.53  at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Millennium Food Tech LP has a beta of -0.3. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Millennium Food are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Millennium Food Tech LP is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Millennium Food Tech LP has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Millennium Food Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Millennium Food

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Millennium Food Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
184.94188.00191.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
160.57163.63206.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
173.66176.72179.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
176.64189.23201.82
Details

Millennium Food Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Millennium Food is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Millennium Food's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Millennium Food Tech LP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Millennium Food within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.3
σ
Overall volatility
10.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Millennium Food Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Millennium Food for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Millennium Food Tech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Millennium Food Tech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Millennium Food Tech has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Millennium Food Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Millennium Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Millennium Food's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Millennium Food's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float4.3 M

Millennium Food Technical Analysis

Millennium Food's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Millennium Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Millennium Food Tech LP. In general, you should focus on analyzing Millennium Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Millennium Food Predictive Forecast Models

Millennium Food's time-series forecasting models is one of many Millennium Food's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Millennium Food's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Millennium Food Tech

Checking the ongoing alerts about Millennium Food for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Millennium Food Tech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Millennium Food Tech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Millennium Food Tech has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Millennium Stock

Millennium Food financial ratios help investors to determine whether Millennium Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Millennium with respect to the benefits of owning Millennium Food security.