Global Advantage Portfolio Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.33

MIGPX Fund  USD 17.68  0.36  2.00%   
Global Advantage's future price is the expected price of Global Advantage instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Global Advantage Portfolio performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Global Advantage Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Global Advantage Correlation, Global Advantage Hype Analysis, Global Advantage Volatility, Global Advantage History as well as Global Advantage Performance.
  
Please specify Global Advantage's target price for which you would like Global Advantage odds to be computed.

Global Advantage Target Price Odds to finish below 9.33

The tendency of Global Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 9.33  or more in 90 days
 17.68 90 days 9.33 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Global Advantage to drop to $ 9.33  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Global Advantage Portfolio probability density function shows the probability of Global Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Global Advantage Por price to stay between $ 9.33  and its current price of $17.68 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Global Advantage Portfolio has a beta of -0.0286. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Global Advantage are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Global Advantage Portfolio is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Global Advantage Portfolio has an alpha of 0.629, implying that it can generate a 0.63 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Global Advantage Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Global Advantage

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Advantage Por. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.1717.6819.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.0016.5118.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.0817.5919.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.3414.6918.04
Details

Global Advantage Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Global Advantage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Global Advantage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Global Advantage Portfolio, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Global Advantage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.63
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
1.74
Ir
Information ratio 0.34

Global Advantage Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Global Advantage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Global Advantage Por can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: 31st Annual Baron Investment Conference Draws Over 5,000 Shareholders and Clients - Business Wire
The fund maintains 97.06% of its assets in stocks

Global Advantage Technical Analysis

Global Advantage's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Global Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Global Advantage Portfolio. In general, you should focus on analyzing Global Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Global Advantage Predictive Forecast Models

Global Advantage's time-series forecasting models is one of many Global Advantage's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Global Advantage's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Global Advantage Por

Checking the ongoing alerts about Global Advantage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Global Advantage Por help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: 31st Annual Baron Investment Conference Draws Over 5,000 Shareholders and Clients - Business Wire
The fund maintains 97.06% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Global Mutual Fund

Global Advantage financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Advantage security.
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