Minesto AB (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.91
| MINEST Stock | SEK 2.44 0.09 3.83% |
Minesto |
Minesto AB Target Price Odds to finish below 2.91
The tendency of Minesto Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under kr 2.91 after 90 days |
| 2.44 | 90 days | 2.91 | about 49.85 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Minesto AB to stay under kr 2.91 after 90 days from now is about 49.85 (This Minesto AB probability density function shows the probability of Minesto Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Minesto AB price to stay between its current price of kr 2.44 and kr 2.91 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.33 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Minesto AB has a beta of -0.42. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Minesto AB are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Minesto AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Minesto AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Minesto AB Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Minesto AB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Minesto AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Minesto AB's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Minesto AB Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Minesto AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Minesto AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Minesto AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Minesto AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Minesto AB Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Minesto AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Minesto AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Minesto AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Minesto AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Minesto AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (14.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 26.9 M. | |
| Minesto AB has accumulated about 150.89 M in cash with (20.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.29. | |
| Roughly 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Minesto AB Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Minesto Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Minesto AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Minesto AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 137.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 150.9 M |
Minesto AB Technical Analysis
Minesto AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Minesto Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Minesto AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Minesto Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Minesto AB Predictive Forecast Models
Minesto AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Minesto AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Minesto AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Minesto AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Minesto AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Minesto AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Minesto AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Minesto AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Minesto AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (14.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 26.9 M. | |
| Minesto AB has accumulated about 150.89 M in cash with (20.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.29. | |
| Roughly 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Minesto Stock
Minesto AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Minesto Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Minesto with respect to the benefits of owning Minesto AB security.