Ab Municipal Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.57
| MISHX Fund | USD 11.29 0.01 0.09% |
MISHX |
Ab Municipal Target Price Odds to finish over 11.57
The tendency of MISHX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 11.57 or more in 90 days |
| 11.29 | 90 days | 11.57 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ab Municipal to move over $ 11.57 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ab Municipal Income probability density function shows the probability of MISHX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ab Municipal Income price to stay between its current price of $ 11.29 and $ 11.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.56 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ab Municipal Income has a beta of -0.1. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ab Municipal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ab Municipal Income is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ab Municipal Income has an alpha of 0.0086, implying that it can generate a 0.008601 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ab Municipal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ab Municipal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ab Municipal Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ab Municipal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ab Municipal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ab Municipal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ab Municipal Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ab Municipal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.4 |
Ab Municipal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ab Municipal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ab Municipal Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of 0.0% | |
| Ab Municipal Income maintains about 96.56% of its assets in bonds |
Ab Municipal Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MISHX Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ab Municipal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ab Municipal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Ab Municipal Technical Analysis
Ab Municipal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MISHX Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ab Municipal Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing MISHX Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ab Municipal Predictive Forecast Models
Ab Municipal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ab Municipal's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ab Municipal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ab Municipal Income
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ab Municipal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ab Municipal Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of 0.0% | |
| Ab Municipal Income maintains about 96.56% of its assets in bonds |
Other Information on Investing in MISHX Mutual Fund
Ab Municipal financial ratios help investors to determine whether MISHX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MISHX with respect to the benefits of owning Ab Municipal security.
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