MFC Industrial (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 127.23
| MIT Stock | THB 0.34 0.03 8.11% |
MFC |
MFC Industrial Target Price Odds to finish over 127.23
The tendency of MFC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 127.23 or more in 90 days |
| 0.34 | 90 days | 127.23 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MFC Industrial to move over 127.23 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This MFC Industrial Real probability density function shows the probability of MFC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MFC Industrial Real price to stay between its current price of 0.34 and 127.23 at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MFC Industrial Real has a beta of -1.47. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding MFC Industrial Real are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, MFC Industrial is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally MFC Industrial Real has an alpha of 0.2227, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MFC Industrial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MFC Industrial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MFC Industrial Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MFC Industrial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MFC Industrial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MFC Industrial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MFC Industrial Real, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MFC Industrial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
MFC Industrial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MFC Industrial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MFC Industrial Real can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MFC Industrial Real is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| MFC Industrial Real has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| MFC Industrial Real appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| MFC Industrial Real has accumulated about 88.54 M in cash with (2.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.91, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
MFC Industrial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MFC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MFC Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MFC Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 97.5 M |
MFC Industrial Technical Analysis
MFC Industrial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MFC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MFC Industrial Real. In general, you should focus on analyzing MFC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MFC Industrial Predictive Forecast Models
MFC Industrial's time-series forecasting models is one of many MFC Industrial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MFC Industrial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MFC Industrial Real
Checking the ongoing alerts about MFC Industrial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MFC Industrial Real help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MFC Industrial Real is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| MFC Industrial Real has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| MFC Industrial Real appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| MFC Industrial Real has accumulated about 88.54 M in cash with (2.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.91, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in MFC Stock
MFC Industrial financial ratios help investors to determine whether MFC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MFC with respect to the benefits of owning MFC Industrial security.