Makita (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 27.09

MK2A Stock  EUR 29.20  0.22  0.75%   
Makita's future price is the expected price of Makita instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Makita performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Makita Backtesting, Makita Valuation, Makita Correlation, Makita Hype Analysis, Makita Volatility, Makita History as well as Makita Performance.
  
Please specify Makita's target price for which you would like Makita odds to be computed.

Makita Target Price Odds to finish below 27.09

The tendency of Makita Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 27.09  or more in 90 days
 29.20 90 days 27.09 
about 1.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Makita to drop to € 27.09  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.64 (This Makita probability density function shows the probability of Makita Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Makita price to stay between € 27.09  and its current price of €29.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Makita has a beta of 0.51. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Makita average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Makita will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Makita has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Makita Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Makita

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Makita. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.7729.2031.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.6529.0731.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Makita. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Makita's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Makita's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Makita.

Makita Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Makita is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Makita's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Makita, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Makita within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.51
σ
Overall volatility
1.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Makita Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Makita for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Makita can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Makita has accumulated about 1.86 B in cash with (103.66 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.86.

Makita Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Makita Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Makita's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Makita's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding271.5 M

Makita Technical Analysis

Makita's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Makita Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Makita. In general, you should focus on analyzing Makita Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Makita Predictive Forecast Models

Makita's time-series forecasting models is one of many Makita's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Makita's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Makita

Checking the ongoing alerts about Makita for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Makita help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Makita has accumulated about 1.86 B in cash with (103.66 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.86.

Other Information on Investing in Makita Stock

Makita financial ratios help investors to determine whether Makita Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Makita with respect to the benefits of owning Makita security.