Blackrock New Jersey Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.31

MKNJX Fund  USD 10.39  0.02  0.19%   
Blackrock New's future price is the expected price of Blackrock New instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Blackrock New Jersey performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Blackrock New Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Blackrock New Correlation, Blackrock New Hype Analysis, Blackrock New Volatility, Blackrock New History as well as Blackrock New Performance.
  
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Blackrock New Target Price Odds to finish below 10.31

The tendency of Blackrock Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 10.31  or more in 90 days
 10.39 90 days 10.31 
about 41.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blackrock New to drop to $ 10.31  or more in 90 days from now is about 41.47 (This Blackrock New Jersey probability density function shows the probability of Blackrock Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Blackrock New Jersey price to stay between $ 10.31  and its current price of $10.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.26 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Blackrock New Jersey has a beta of -0.0908. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Blackrock New are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Blackrock New Jersey is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Blackrock New Jersey has an alpha of 0.0228, implying that it can generate a 0.0228 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Blackrock New Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Blackrock New

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blackrock New Jersey. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.1110.3710.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.1810.2910.40
Details

Blackrock New Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blackrock New is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blackrock New's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blackrock New Jersey, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blackrock New within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.4

Blackrock New Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blackrock New for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blackrock New Jersey can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Blackrock New Jersey maintains about 8.93% of its assets in cash

Blackrock New Technical Analysis

Blackrock New's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blackrock Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blackrock New Jersey. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blackrock Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Blackrock New Predictive Forecast Models

Blackrock New's time-series forecasting models is one of many Blackrock New's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blackrock New's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Blackrock New Jersey

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blackrock New for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blackrock New Jersey help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Blackrock New Jersey maintains about 8.93% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Blackrock Mutual Fund

Blackrock New financial ratios help investors to determine whether Blackrock Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Blackrock with respect to the benefits of owning Blackrock New security.
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