Capri Holdings (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.59
| MKO Stock | EUR 19.35 0.64 3.42% |
Capri |
Capri Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 12.59
The tendency of Capri Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 12.59 or more in 90 days |
| 19.35 | 90 days | 12.59 | about 1.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capri Holdings to drop to € 12.59 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.44 (This Capri Holdings Limited probability density function shows the probability of Capri Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capri Holdings price to stay between € 12.59 and its current price of €19.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.42 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.88 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Capri Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Capri Holdings Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Capri Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Capri Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capri Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Capri Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capri Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capri Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capri Holdings Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capri Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.66 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.88 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Capri Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capri Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capri Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Capri Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Capri Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Capri Holdings has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Capri Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Capri Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Capri Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capri Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 142.8 M |
Capri Holdings Technical Analysis
Capri Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capri Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capri Holdings Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capri Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Capri Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Capri Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Capri Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capri Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Capri Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Capri Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Capri Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Capri Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Capri Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Capri Holdings has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in Capri Stock
Capri Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Capri Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Capri with respect to the benefits of owning Capri Holdings security.