Menthobi Karyatama (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 116.29
| MKTR Stock | 121.00 1.00 0.83% |
Menthobi |
Menthobi Karyatama Target Price Odds to finish below 116.29
The tendency of Menthobi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 116.29 or more in 90 days |
| 121.00 | 90 days | 116.29 | about 1.42 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Menthobi Karyatama to drop to 116.29 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.42 (This Menthobi Karyatama Raya probability density function shows the probability of Menthobi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Menthobi Karyatama Raya price to stay between 116.29 and its current price of 121.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Menthobi Karyatama Raya has a beta of -0.0536. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Menthobi Karyatama are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Menthobi Karyatama Raya is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Menthobi Karyatama Raya has an alpha of 0.016, implying that it can generate a 0.016 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Menthobi Karyatama Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Menthobi Karyatama
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Menthobi Karyatama Raya. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Menthobi Karyatama Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Menthobi Karyatama is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Menthobi Karyatama's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Menthobi Karyatama Raya, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Menthobi Karyatama within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Menthobi Karyatama Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Menthobi Karyatama for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Menthobi Karyatama Raya can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 79.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Menthobi Karyatama Technical Analysis
Menthobi Karyatama's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Menthobi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Menthobi Karyatama Raya. In general, you should focus on analyzing Menthobi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Menthobi Karyatama Predictive Forecast Models
Menthobi Karyatama's time-series forecasting models is one of many Menthobi Karyatama's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Menthobi Karyatama's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Menthobi Karyatama Raya
Checking the ongoing alerts about Menthobi Karyatama for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Menthobi Karyatama Raya help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 79.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Menthobi Stock
Menthobi Karyatama financial ratios help investors to determine whether Menthobi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Menthobi with respect to the benefits of owning Menthobi Karyatama security.