Mida Leasing (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.58

ML Stock   0.58  0.02  3.33%   
Mida Leasing's future price is the expected price of Mida Leasing instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mida Leasing Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mida Leasing Backtesting, Mida Leasing Valuation, Mida Leasing Correlation, Mida Leasing Hype Analysis, Mida Leasing Volatility, Mida Leasing History as well as Mida Leasing Performance.
  
Please specify Mida Leasing's target price for which you would like Mida Leasing odds to be computed.

Mida Leasing Target Price Odds to finish over 0.58

The tendency of Mida Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.58 90 days 0.58 
about 70.73
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mida Leasing to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 70.73 (This Mida Leasing Public probability density function shows the probability of Mida Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mida Leasing Public has a beta of -0.0026. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mida Leasing are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mida Leasing Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mida Leasing Public has an alpha of 0.3831, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mida Leasing Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mida Leasing

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mida Leasing Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.5879.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.4279.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.62127.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.560.660.76
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mida Leasing. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mida Leasing's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mida Leasing's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mida Leasing Public.

Mida Leasing Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mida Leasing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mida Leasing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mida Leasing Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mida Leasing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0026
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Mida Leasing Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mida Leasing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mida Leasing Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mida Leasing Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Mida Leasing Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Mida Leasing Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Mida Leasing Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mida Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mida Leasing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mida Leasing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 B

Mida Leasing Technical Analysis

Mida Leasing's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mida Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mida Leasing Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mida Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mida Leasing Predictive Forecast Models

Mida Leasing's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mida Leasing's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mida Leasing's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mida Leasing Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mida Leasing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mida Leasing Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mida Leasing Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Mida Leasing Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Mida Leasing Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Mida Stock

Mida Leasing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mida Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mida with respect to the benefits of owning Mida Leasing security.