Amatheon Agri (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0165

MLAAH Stock  EUR 0.02  0.0005  2.33%   
Amatheon Agri's future price is the expected price of Amatheon Agri instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Amatheon Agri Holding performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Amatheon Agri Backtesting, Amatheon Agri Valuation, Amatheon Agri Correlation, Amatheon Agri Hype Analysis, Amatheon Agri Volatility, Amatheon Agri History as well as Amatheon Agri Performance.
  
Please specify Amatheon Agri's target price for which you would like Amatheon Agri odds to be computed.

Amatheon Agri Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0165

The tendency of Amatheon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 0.02  or more in 90 days
 0.02 90 days 0.02 
about 5.48
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amatheon Agri to drop to € 0.02  or more in 90 days from now is about 5.48 (This Amatheon Agri Holding probability density function shows the probability of Amatheon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amatheon Agri Holding price to stay between € 0.02  and its current price of €0.022 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amatheon Agri has a beta of 0.66. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Amatheon Agri average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amatheon Agri Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amatheon Agri Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Amatheon Agri Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amatheon Agri

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amatheon Agri Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0215.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0215.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00050.0315.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.030.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amatheon Agri. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amatheon Agri's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amatheon Agri's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Amatheon Agri Holding.

Amatheon Agri Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amatheon Agri is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amatheon Agri's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amatheon Agri Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amatheon Agri within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.66
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Amatheon Agri Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amatheon Agri for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amatheon Agri Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amatheon Agri generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Amatheon Agri has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Amatheon Agri has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Amatheon Agri has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has a current ratio of 0.82, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Amatheon Agri until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Amatheon Agri's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Amatheon Agri Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Amatheon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Amatheon Agri's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Amatheon Agri Holding reported the revenue of 9.47 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.88 M.
Amatheon Agri generates negative cash flow from operations

Amatheon Agri Technical Analysis

Amatheon Agri's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amatheon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amatheon Agri Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amatheon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Amatheon Agri Predictive Forecast Models

Amatheon Agri's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amatheon Agri's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amatheon Agri's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Amatheon Agri Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amatheon Agri for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amatheon Agri Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amatheon Agri generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Amatheon Agri has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Amatheon Agri has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Amatheon Agri has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has a current ratio of 0.82, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Amatheon Agri until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Amatheon Agri's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Amatheon Agri Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Amatheon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Amatheon Agri's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Amatheon Agri Holding reported the revenue of 9.47 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.88 M.
Amatheon Agri generates negative cash flow from operations

Additional Tools for Amatheon Stock Analysis

When running Amatheon Agri's price analysis, check to measure Amatheon Agri's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amatheon Agri is operating at the current time. Most of Amatheon Agri's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amatheon Agri's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amatheon Agri's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amatheon Agri to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.