BEBO Health (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.42

MLBBO Stock   2.44  0.00  0.00%   
BEBO Health's future price is the expected price of BEBO Health instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BEBO Health SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BEBO Health Backtesting, BEBO Health Valuation, BEBO Health Correlation, BEBO Health Hype Analysis, BEBO Health Volatility, BEBO Health History as well as BEBO Health Performance.
  
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BEBO Health Target Price Odds to finish over 2.42

The tendency of BEBO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  2.42  in 90 days
 2.44 90 days 2.42 
about 76.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BEBO Health to stay above  2.42  in 90 days from now is about 76.42 (This BEBO Health SA probability density function shows the probability of BEBO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BEBO Health SA price to stay between  2.42  and its current price of 2.44 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.53 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BEBO Health SA has a beta of -0.0324. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BEBO Health are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BEBO Health SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BEBO Health SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   BEBO Health Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BEBO Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BEBO Health SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.172.444.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.302.574.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.282.554.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.442.442.44
Details

BEBO Health Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BEBO Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BEBO Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BEBO Health SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BEBO Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

BEBO Health Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BEBO Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BEBO Health SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BEBO Health SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

BEBO Health Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BEBO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BEBO Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BEBO Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments57.9 K

BEBO Health Technical Analysis

BEBO Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BEBO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BEBO Health SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing BEBO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BEBO Health Predictive Forecast Models

BEBO Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many BEBO Health's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BEBO Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BEBO Health SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about BEBO Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BEBO Health SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BEBO Health SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for BEBO Stock Analysis

When running BEBO Health's price analysis, check to measure BEBO Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BEBO Health is operating at the current time. Most of BEBO Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BEBO Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BEBO Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BEBO Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.