FNP Technologies (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.42

MLFNP Stock   0.06  0.00  0.00%   
FNP Technologies' future price is the expected price of FNP Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FNP Technologies SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FNP Technologies Backtesting, FNP Technologies Valuation, FNP Technologies Correlation, FNP Technologies Hype Analysis, FNP Technologies Volatility, FNP Technologies History as well as FNP Technologies Performance.
  
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FNP Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 5.42

The tendency of FNP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  5.42  or more in 90 days
 0.06 90 days 5.42 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FNP Technologies to move over  5.42  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This FNP Technologies SA probability density function shows the probability of FNP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FNP Technologies price to stay between its current price of  0.06  and  5.42  at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.66 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FNP Technologies SA has a beta of -0.38. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding FNP Technologies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, FNP Technologies SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally FNP Technologies SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   FNP Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FNP Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FNP Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.061.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.051.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.061.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.060.060.06
Details

FNP Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FNP Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FNP Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FNP Technologies SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FNP Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.38
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

FNP Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FNP Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FNP Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FNP Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FNP Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
FNP Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

FNP Technologies Technical Analysis

FNP Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FNP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FNP Technologies SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing FNP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FNP Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

FNP Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many FNP Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FNP Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FNP Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about FNP Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FNP Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FNP Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FNP Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
FNP Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for FNP Stock Analysis

When running FNP Technologies' price analysis, check to measure FNP Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FNP Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of FNP Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FNP Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FNP Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FNP Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.