Malaga Financial Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 21.08

MLGF Stock  USD 22.77  0.01  0.04%   
Malaga Financial's future price is the expected price of Malaga Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Malaga Financial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Malaga Financial Backtesting, Malaga Financial Valuation, Malaga Financial Correlation, Malaga Financial Hype Analysis, Malaga Financial Volatility, Malaga Financial History as well as Malaga Financial Performance.
  
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Malaga Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 21.08

The tendency of Malaga Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 21.08  or more in 90 days
 22.77 90 days 21.08 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Malaga Financial to drop to $ 21.08  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Malaga Financial probability density function shows the probability of Malaga Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Malaga Financial price to stay between $ 21.08  and its current price of $22.77 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.78 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Malaga Financial has a beta of -0.0938. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Malaga Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Malaga Financial is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Malaga Financial has an alpha of 0.0305, implying that it can generate a 0.0305 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Malaga Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Malaga Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Malaga Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.2622.7723.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.0421.5525.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Malaga Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Malaga Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Malaga Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Malaga Financial.

Malaga Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Malaga Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Malaga Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Malaga Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Malaga Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Malaga Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Malaga Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Malaga Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Malaga Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividends Paid7.7 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate1
Shares Float3.7 M

Malaga Financial Technical Analysis

Malaga Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Malaga Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Malaga Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Malaga Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Malaga Financial Predictive Forecast Models

Malaga Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Malaga Financial's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Malaga Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Malaga Financial in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Malaga Financial's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Malaga Financial options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Malaga Pink Sheet

Malaga Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Malaga Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Malaga with respect to the benefits of owning Malaga Financial security.