Molecular Partners Ag Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 3.50

MLLCF Stock  USD 3.50  0.55  13.58%   
Molecular Partners' future price is the expected price of Molecular Partners instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Molecular Partners AG performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Molecular Partners Backtesting, Molecular Partners Valuation, Molecular Partners Correlation, Molecular Partners Hype Analysis, Molecular Partners Volatility, Molecular Partners History as well as Molecular Partners Performance.
  
Please specify Molecular Partners' target price for which you would like Molecular Partners odds to be computed.

Molecular Partners Target Price Odds to finish over 3.50

The tendency of Molecular Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.50 90 days 3.50 
about 72.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Molecular Partners to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 72.57 (This Molecular Partners AG probability density function shows the probability of Molecular Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Molecular Partners AG has a beta of -0.35. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Molecular Partners are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Molecular Partners AG is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Molecular Partners AG has an alpha of 0.0493, implying that it can generate a 0.0493 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Molecular Partners Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Molecular Partners

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Molecular Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Molecular Partners' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.833.506.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.413.085.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.403.075.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.233.644.04
Details

Molecular Partners Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Molecular Partners is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Molecular Partners' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Molecular Partners AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Molecular Partners within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Molecular Partners Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Molecular Partners for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Molecular Partners can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 9.33 M. Net Loss for the year was (63.78 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (45.96 M).
Molecular Partners AG has accumulated about 267.13 M in cash with (90.95 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.22, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Molecular Partners Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Molecular Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Molecular Partners' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Molecular Partners' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Molecular Partners Technical Analysis

Molecular Partners' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Molecular Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Molecular Partners AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Molecular Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Molecular Partners Predictive Forecast Models

Molecular Partners' time-series forecasting models is one of many Molecular Partners' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Molecular Partners' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Molecular Partners

Checking the ongoing alerts about Molecular Partners for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Molecular Partners help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 9.33 M. Net Loss for the year was (63.78 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (45.96 M).
Molecular Partners AG has accumulated about 267.13 M in cash with (90.95 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.22, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Molecular Pink Sheet

When determining whether Molecular Partners offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Molecular Partners' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Molecular Partners Ag Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Molecular Partners Ag Stock:
Please note, there is a significant difference between Molecular Partners' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Molecular Partners is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Molecular Partners' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.