Mullen Group Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 11.41

MLLGF Stock  USD 10.93  0.26  2.32%   
Mullen's future price is the expected price of Mullen instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mullen Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mullen Backtesting, Mullen Valuation, Mullen Correlation, Mullen Hype Analysis, Mullen Volatility, Mullen History as well as Mullen Performance.
  
Please specify Mullen's target price for which you would like Mullen odds to be computed.

Mullen Target Price Odds to finish over 11.41

The tendency of Mullen Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 11.41  or more in 90 days
 10.93 90 days 11.41 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mullen to move over $ 11.41  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Mullen Group probability density function shows the probability of Mullen Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mullen Group price to stay between its current price of $ 10.93  and $ 11.41  at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.09 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mullen has a beta of 0.15. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mullen average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mullen Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mullen Group has an alpha of 0.0365, implying that it can generate a 0.0365 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mullen Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mullen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mullen Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.1610.9311.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.0710.8411.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.3711.1411.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.6010.9711.33
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mullen. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mullen's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mullen's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mullen Group.

Mullen Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mullen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mullen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mullen Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mullen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Mullen Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mullen Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mullen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mullen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding93 M
Dividends Paid61.6 M
Short Long Term Debt23 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.54

Mullen Technical Analysis

Mullen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mullen Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mullen Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mullen Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mullen Predictive Forecast Models

Mullen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mullen's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mullen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Mullen in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Mullen's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Mullen options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Mullen Pink Sheet

Mullen financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mullen Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mullen with respect to the benefits of owning Mullen security.