Multipolar Tbk (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 153.43
| MLPL Stock | IDR 129.00 3.00 2.38% |
Multipolar |
Multipolar Tbk Target Price Odds to finish over 153.43
The tendency of Multipolar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 153.43 or more in 90 days |
| 129.00 | 90 days | 153.43 | about 17.27 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Multipolar Tbk to move over 153.43 or more in 90 days from now is about 17.27 (This Multipolar Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Multipolar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Multipolar Tbk price to stay between its current price of 129.00 and 153.43 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.39 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Multipolar Tbk has a beta of -1.31. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Multipolar Tbk are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Multipolar Tbk is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Multipolar Tbk has an alpha of 1.2578, implying that it can generate a 1.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Multipolar Tbk Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Multipolar Tbk
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Multipolar Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Multipolar Tbk Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Multipolar Tbk is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Multipolar Tbk's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Multipolar Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Multipolar Tbk within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 42.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Multipolar Tbk Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Multipolar Tbk for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Multipolar Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Multipolar Tbk is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Multipolar Tbk appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Multipolar Tbk has accumulated 2.57 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.84, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Multipolar Tbk has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Multipolar Tbk until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Multipolar Tbk's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Multipolar Tbk sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Multipolar to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Multipolar Tbk's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 55.0% of Multipolar Tbk outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Multipolar Tbk Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Multipolar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Multipolar Tbk's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Multipolar Tbk's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.7 T |
Multipolar Tbk Technical Analysis
Multipolar Tbk's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Multipolar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Multipolar Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Multipolar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Multipolar Tbk Predictive Forecast Models
Multipolar Tbk's time-series forecasting models is one of many Multipolar Tbk's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Multipolar Tbk's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Multipolar Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Multipolar Tbk for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Multipolar Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Multipolar Tbk is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Multipolar Tbk appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Multipolar Tbk has accumulated 2.57 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.84, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Multipolar Tbk has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Multipolar Tbk until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Multipolar Tbk's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Multipolar Tbk sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Multipolar to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Multipolar Tbk's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 55.0% of Multipolar Tbk outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Multipolar Stock
Multipolar Tbk financial ratios help investors to determine whether Multipolar Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Multipolar with respect to the benefits of owning Multipolar Tbk security.