MarineMax (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 23.78

MLW Stock  EUR 23.78  0.42  1.74%   
MarineMax's future price is the expected price of MarineMax instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of MarineMax performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out MarineMax Analysis, MarineMax Valuation, MarineMax Correlation, MarineMax Hype Analysis, MarineMax Volatility, MarineMax Price History as well as MarineMax Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in MarineMax Stock please use our How to Invest in MarineMax guide.
  
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MarineMax Target Price Odds to finish over 23.78

The tendency of MarineMax Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 23.78 90 days 23.78 
about 17.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MarineMax to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 17.0 (This MarineMax probability density function shows the probability of MarineMax Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon MarineMax has a beta of -0.46. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MarineMax are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MarineMax is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MarineMax has an alpha of 0.3167, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   MarineMax Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MarineMax

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MarineMax. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.5223.6427.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.3619.4826.16
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.621.631.65
Details

MarineMax Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MarineMax is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MarineMax's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MarineMax, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MarineMax within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.46
σ
Overall volatility
1.96
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

MarineMax Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MarineMax for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MarineMax can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MarineMax had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
MarineMax has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
MarineMax has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 2.31 B. Net Loss for the year was (31.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 741.04 M.
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Donerail calls out corrosive culture of nepotism at MarineMax in open letter - Marine Industry News

MarineMax Technical Analysis

MarineMax's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MarineMax Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MarineMax. In general, you should focus on analyzing MarineMax Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

MarineMax Predictive Forecast Models

MarineMax's time-series forecasting models is one of many MarineMax's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MarineMax's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about MarineMax

Checking the ongoing alerts about MarineMax for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MarineMax help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MarineMax had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
MarineMax has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
MarineMax has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 2.31 B. Net Loss for the year was (31.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 741.04 M.
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Donerail calls out corrosive culture of nepotism at MarineMax in open letter - Marine Industry News
When determining whether MarineMax offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of MarineMax's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Marinemax Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Marinemax Stock:
Check out MarineMax Analysis, MarineMax Valuation, MarineMax Correlation, MarineMax Hype Analysis, MarineMax Volatility, MarineMax Price History as well as MarineMax Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in MarineMax Stock please use our How to Invest in MarineMax guide.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Understanding that MarineMax's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether MarineMax represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, MarineMax's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.