Amg Managers Emerging Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 15.96

MMCFX Fund  USD 13.48  0.04  0.30%   
Amg Managers' future price is the expected price of Amg Managers instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Amg Managers Emerging performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Amg Managers Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Amg Managers Correlation, Amg Managers Hype Analysis, Amg Managers Volatility, Amg Managers History as well as Amg Managers Performance.
  
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Amg Managers Target Price Odds to finish over 15.96

The tendency of Amg Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 15.96  or more in 90 days
 13.48 90 days 15.96 
about 7.58
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amg Managers to move over $ 15.96  or more in 90 days from now is about 7.58 (This Amg Managers Emerging probability density function shows the probability of Amg Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amg Managers Emerging price to stay between its current price of $ 13.48  and $ 15.96  at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.16 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Amg Managers Emerging has a beta of -0.47. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Amg Managers are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Amg Managers Emerging is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Amg Managers Emerging has an alpha of 0.1658, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Amg Managers Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amg Managers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amg Managers Emerging. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.1313.5515.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.3212.7415.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.0212.4414.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.2913.9114.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amg Managers. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amg Managers' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amg Managers' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Amg Managers Emerging.

Amg Managers Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amg Managers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amg Managers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amg Managers Emerging, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amg Managers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.47
σ
Overall volatility
1.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.0014

Amg Managers Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amg Managers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amg Managers Emerging can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amg Managers Emerging generated five year return of -7.0%
This fund maintains about 20.19% of its assets in cash

Amg Managers Technical Analysis

Amg Managers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amg Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amg Managers Emerging. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amg Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Amg Managers Predictive Forecast Models

Amg Managers' time-series forecasting models is one of many Amg Managers' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amg Managers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Amg Managers Emerging

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amg Managers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amg Managers Emerging help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amg Managers Emerging generated five year return of -7.0%
This fund maintains about 20.19% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Amg Mutual Fund

Amg Managers financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amg Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amg with respect to the benefits of owning Amg Managers security.
Technical Analysis
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Portfolio Rebalancing
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