Mmex Resources Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 8.5E-5

MMEX Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
MMEX Resources' future price is the expected price of MMEX Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of MMEX Resources Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out MMEX Resources Backtesting, MMEX Resources Valuation, MMEX Resources Correlation, MMEX Resources Hype Analysis, MMEX Resources Volatility, MMEX Resources History as well as MMEX Resources Performance.
  
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MMEX Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 8.5E-5

The tendency of MMEX Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.000085  or more in 90 days
 0.0001 90 days 0.000085 
about 48.79
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MMEX Resources to drop to $ 0.000085  or more in 90 days from now is about 48.79 (This MMEX Resources Corp probability density function shows the probability of MMEX Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MMEX Resources Corp price to stay between $ 0.000085  and its current price of $1.0E-4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.68 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days MMEX Resources has the beta coefficient that is very close to zero. This indicates the returns on DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL and MMEX Resources do not appear to be sensitive. Additionally It does not look like MMEX Resources' alpha can have any bearing on the current valuation.
   MMEX Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MMEX Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MMEX Resources Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MMEX Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000150.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00006350.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0000030.0001298.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.0000830.0000830.000083
Details

MMEX Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MMEX Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MMEX Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MMEX Resources Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MMEX Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.00
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.00
σ
Overall volatility
0.000035
Ir
Information ratio 0.00

MMEX Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MMEX Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MMEX Resources Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MMEX Resources Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
MMEX Resources Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
MMEX Resources Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
MMEX Resources Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
MMEX Resources Corp currently holds 1.52 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 4.03, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. MMEX Resources Corp has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist MMEX Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, MMEX Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like MMEX Resources Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for MMEX to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about MMEX Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (228.73 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
MMEX Resources Corp currently holds about 8.26 K in cash with (3.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 26.0% of MMEX Resources outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

MMEX Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MMEX Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MMEX Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MMEX Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments136.9 K

MMEX Resources Technical Analysis

MMEX Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MMEX Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MMEX Resources Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing MMEX Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

MMEX Resources Predictive Forecast Models

MMEX Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many MMEX Resources' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MMEX Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about MMEX Resources Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about MMEX Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MMEX Resources Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MMEX Resources Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
MMEX Resources Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
MMEX Resources Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
MMEX Resources Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
MMEX Resources Corp currently holds 1.52 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 4.03, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. MMEX Resources Corp has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist MMEX Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, MMEX Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like MMEX Resources Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for MMEX to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about MMEX Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (228.73 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
MMEX Resources Corp currently holds about 8.26 K in cash with (3.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 26.0% of MMEX Resources outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for MMEX Pink Sheet Analysis

When running MMEX Resources' price analysis, check to measure MMEX Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MMEX Resources is operating at the current time. Most of MMEX Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MMEX Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MMEX Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MMEX Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.