Mobius Investment (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 136.62

MMIT Stock   138.00  0.50  0.36%   
Mobius Investment's future price is the expected price of Mobius Investment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mobius Investment Trust performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mobius Investment Backtesting, Mobius Investment Valuation, Mobius Investment Correlation, Mobius Investment Hype Analysis, Mobius Investment Volatility, Mobius Investment History as well as Mobius Investment Performance.
  
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Mobius Investment Target Price Odds to finish over 136.62

The tendency of Mobius Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  136.62  in 90 days
 138.00 90 days 136.62 
about 81.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mobius Investment to stay above  136.62  in 90 days from now is about 81.42 (This Mobius Investment Trust probability density function shows the probability of Mobius Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mobius Investment Trust price to stay between  136.62  and its current price of 138.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.77 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mobius Investment has a beta of 0.19. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mobius Investment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mobius Investment Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mobius Investment Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Mobius Investment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mobius Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mobius Investment Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
136.84137.98139.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
137.11138.25139.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
136.82137.95139.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
135.90138.88141.85
Details

Mobius Investment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mobius Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mobius Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mobius Investment Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mobius Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.19
σ
Overall volatility
1.97
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Mobius Investment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mobius Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mobius Investment Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Mobius Investment Trust Releases October Performance Factsheet - TipRanks

Mobius Investment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mobius Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mobius Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mobius Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding111.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments10.7 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.01

Mobius Investment Technical Analysis

Mobius Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mobius Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mobius Investment Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mobius Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mobius Investment Predictive Forecast Models

Mobius Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mobius Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mobius Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mobius Investment Trust

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mobius Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mobius Investment Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Mobius Investment Trust Releases October Performance Factsheet - TipRanks

Additional Tools for Mobius Stock Analysis

When running Mobius Investment's price analysis, check to measure Mobius Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mobius Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Mobius Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mobius Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mobius Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mobius Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.