Mega Manunggal (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 483.12
| MMLP Stock | IDR 488.00 2.00 0.41% |
Mega |
Mega Manunggal Target Price Odds to finish over 483.12
The tendency of Mega Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 483.12 in 90 days |
| 488.00 | 90 days | 483.12 | about 39.89 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mega Manunggal to stay above 483.12 in 90 days from now is about 39.89 (This Mega Manunggal Property probability density function shows the probability of Mega Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mega Manunggal Property price to stay between 483.12 and its current price of 488.0 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mega Manunggal has a beta of 0.63. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mega Manunggal average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mega Manunggal Property will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mega Manunggal Property has an alpha of 0.1422, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Mega Manunggal Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Mega Manunggal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mega Manunggal Property. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mega Manunggal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mega Manunggal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mega Manunggal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mega Manunggal Property, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mega Manunggal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 44.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Mega Manunggal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mega Manunggal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mega Manunggal Property can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Mega Manunggal Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mega Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mega Manunggal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mega Manunggal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 770.3 B |
Mega Manunggal Technical Analysis
Mega Manunggal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mega Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mega Manunggal Property. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mega Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mega Manunggal Predictive Forecast Models
Mega Manunggal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mega Manunggal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mega Manunggal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mega Manunggal Property
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mega Manunggal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mega Manunggal Property help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Mega Stock
Mega Manunggal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mega Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mega with respect to the benefits of owning Mega Manunggal security.