Mainstay Moderate Allocation Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 12.54
| MMRHXDelisted Fund | USD 12.67 0.00 0.00% |
Mainstay |
Mainstay Moderate Target Price Odds to finish over 12.54
The tendency of Mainstay Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 12.54 in 90 days |
| 12.67 | 90 days | 12.54 | about 8.56 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mainstay Moderate to stay above $ 12.54 in 90 days from now is about 8.56 (This Mainstay Moderate Allocation probability density function shows the probability of Mainstay Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mainstay Moderate price to stay between $ 12.54 and its current price of $12.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.55 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mainstay Moderate Allocation has a beta of -0.12. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mainstay Moderate are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mainstay Moderate Allocation is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mainstay Moderate Allocation has an alpha of 0.0625, implying that it can generate a 0.0625 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Mainstay Moderate Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mainstay Moderate
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mainstay Moderate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mainstay Moderate Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mainstay Moderate is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mainstay Moderate's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mainstay Moderate Allocation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mainstay Moderate within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Mainstay Moderate Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mainstay Moderate for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mainstay Moderate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mainstay Moderate is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Mainstay Moderate has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The fund maintains about 12.45% of its assets in cash |
Mainstay Moderate Technical Analysis
Mainstay Moderate's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mainstay Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mainstay Moderate Allocation. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mainstay Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mainstay Moderate Predictive Forecast Models
Mainstay Moderate's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mainstay Moderate's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mainstay Moderate's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mainstay Moderate
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mainstay Moderate for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mainstay Moderate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mainstay Moderate is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Mainstay Moderate has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The fund maintains about 12.45% of its assets in cash |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Other Consideration for investing in Mainstay Mutual Fund
If you are still planning to invest in Mainstay Moderate check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Mainstay Moderate's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Portfolio Manager State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital | |
| Portfolio Comparator Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account | |
| Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings |