Mtropole Tlvision (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.77
| MMT Stock | EUR 11.04 0.12 1.10% |
Mtropole |
Mtropole Tlvision Target Price Odds to finish below 9.77
The tendency of Mtropole Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 9.77 or more in 90 days |
| 11.04 | 90 days | 9.77 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mtropole Tlvision to drop to € 9.77 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Mtropole Tlvision SA probability density function shows the probability of Mtropole Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mtropole Tlvision price to stay between € 9.77 and its current price of €11.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mtropole Tlvision has a beta of 0.12. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mtropole Tlvision average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mtropole Tlvision SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mtropole Tlvision SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mtropole Tlvision Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mtropole Tlvision
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mtropole Tlvision. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mtropole Tlvision Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mtropole Tlvision is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mtropole Tlvision's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mtropole Tlvision SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mtropole Tlvision within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.28 |
Mtropole Tlvision Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mtropole Tlvision for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mtropole Tlvision can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mtropole Tlvision generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Mtropole Tlvision Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mtropole Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mtropole Tlvision's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mtropole Tlvision's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 125.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 353.3 M |
Mtropole Tlvision Technical Analysis
Mtropole Tlvision's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mtropole Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mtropole Tlvision SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mtropole Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mtropole Tlvision Predictive Forecast Models
Mtropole Tlvision's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mtropole Tlvision's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mtropole Tlvision's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mtropole Tlvision
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mtropole Tlvision for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mtropole Tlvision help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mtropole Tlvision generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Mtropole Stock
Mtropole Tlvision financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mtropole Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mtropole with respect to the benefits of owning Mtropole Tlvision security.