Moens Bank (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 223.45

MNBA Stock  DKK 216.00  6.00  2.70%   
Moens Bank's future price is the expected price of Moens Bank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Moens Bank AS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Moens Bank Backtesting, Moens Bank Valuation, Moens Bank Correlation, Moens Bank Hype Analysis, Moens Bank Volatility, Moens Bank History as well as Moens Bank Performance.
  
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Moens Bank Target Price Odds to finish over 223.45

The tendency of Moens Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over kr 223.45  or more in 90 days
 216.00 90 days 223.45 
about 71.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Moens Bank to move over kr 223.45  or more in 90 days from now is about 71.24 (This Moens Bank AS probability density function shows the probability of Moens Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Moens Bank AS price to stay between its current price of kr 216.00  and kr 223.45  at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.35 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Moens Bank has a beta of 0.13. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Moens Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Moens Bank AS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Moens Bank AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Moens Bank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Moens Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Moens Bank AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
220.94222.00223.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
206.33207.39244.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
222.40223.45224.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
214.84221.25227.66
Details

Moens Bank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Moens Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Moens Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Moens Bank AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Moens Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
4.55
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Moens Bank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Moens Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Moens Bank AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Moens Bank AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Moens Bank Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Moens Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Moens Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Moens Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Cash And Short Term Investments1.8 B

Moens Bank Technical Analysis

Moens Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Moens Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Moens Bank AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Moens Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Moens Bank Predictive Forecast Models

Moens Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Moens Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Moens Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Moens Bank AS

Checking the ongoing alerts about Moens Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Moens Bank AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Moens Bank AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Moens Stock

Moens Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Moens Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Moens with respect to the benefits of owning Moens Bank security.