Mayr Melnhof Karton Ag Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 108.11
| MNHFF Stock | USD 108.11 0.00 0.00% |
Mayr-Melnhof |
Mayr-Melnhof Karton Target Price Odds to finish over 108.11
The tendency of Mayr-Melnhof Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 108.11 | 90 days | 108.11 | about 63.57 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mayr-Melnhof Karton to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 63.57 (This Mayr Melnhof Karton AG probability density function shows the probability of Mayr-Melnhof Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mayr-Melnhof Karton has a beta of 0.0027. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mayr-Melnhof Karton average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mayr Melnhof Karton AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mayr Melnhof Karton AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mayr-Melnhof Karton Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mayr-Melnhof Karton
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mayr Melnhof Karton. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mayr-Melnhof Karton Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mayr-Melnhof Karton is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mayr-Melnhof Karton's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mayr Melnhof Karton AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mayr-Melnhof Karton within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.49 |
Mayr-Melnhof Karton Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mayr-Melnhof Karton for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mayr Melnhof Karton can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mayr Melnhof Karton generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Mayr-Melnhof Karton Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mayr-Melnhof Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mayr-Melnhof Karton's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mayr-Melnhof Karton's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 63.2 M |
Mayr-Melnhof Karton Technical Analysis
Mayr-Melnhof Karton's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mayr-Melnhof Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mayr Melnhof Karton AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mayr-Melnhof Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mayr-Melnhof Karton Predictive Forecast Models
Mayr-Melnhof Karton's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mayr-Melnhof Karton's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mayr-Melnhof Karton's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mayr Melnhof Karton
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mayr-Melnhof Karton for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mayr Melnhof Karton help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mayr Melnhof Karton generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Mayr-Melnhof Pink Sheet
Mayr-Melnhof Karton financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mayr-Melnhof Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mayr-Melnhof with respect to the benefits of owning Mayr-Melnhof Karton security.